Stock market 2018: high hopes put on foreign cash flow

Foreign capital flow, which was behind the strong rise of the Vietnam stock market in 2017, is expected to help the VN Index reach new highs in 2018.

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Foreign capital flow was behind the strong rise of the stock market in 2017

The high GDP growth rate, the government’s new policies and foreign capital flow are the three factors behind the strong rise of the stock market in 2017. 

A report found that foreign investors bought $1.87 billion worth of stocks and bonds in 2017, increasing their portfolio value to $40 billion.

In December 2017 alone, the number of foreign investors granted securities trading codes climbed to a record high: 447 accounts were granted to 28 institutional and 419 individual investors. To date, 23,500 foreign investors have trading codes from VSD. According to the General Stastistics Office (GSO), 5,002 deals were made by foreign investors who contributed capital and bought into Vietnamese businesses, worth $6.2 billion reported in 2017. 

The sharp increase of foreign capital flow in 2017 helped push the VN Index by 48 percent and HNX Index by 46 percent. This helped increase market capitalization value to $124 billion, or 68.5 percent of GDP.

The upward trend continued to be seen in the first three weeks of 2018 with the VN Index gaining another 78 points, which means an increase of 7.9 percent after 14 trading sessions.

The sharp increase of foreign capital flow in 2017 helped push the VN Index by 48 percent and HNX Index by 46 percent. This helped increase market capitalization value to $124 billion, or 68.5 percent of GDP.

The cash flow from foreign investors continued to be a psychological support for the market with a total net buying of VND7.136 trillion.

Analysts noted that the foreign investors’ net purchase in the last few days was equal to that of 2014. The analysts believe that the cash flow from overseas will continue rising this year if the dong/dollar exchange rate is not adjusted by more than 2 percent and the inflation rate is at 4 percent. Foreign capital has been flowing to many different business fields. 

Investment funds have also attracted new capital. VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF (V.N.M ETF), one of the two biggest ETF in Vietnam, has raised $25 million so far this year. 

Meanwhile, Db x-trackers FTSE Vietnam ETF (FTSE Vietnam ETF) has issued another 60,000 fund certificates, raising the total number to 9.52 million units. According to Business Korea, in 2017 South Korean investors poured $434 billion into 11 funds which invest in the Vietnamese market, not including ETF.

An analyst said that foreign investors rushed to buy stocks recently because of the expectation of the Vietnamese market being upgraded from frontier to emerging, which may occur in 2018.

M. Ha

Source: VietNamNet

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